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Shopify issues upbeat quarterly forecasts, $2 billion stock buyback plan; shares surge

Posted By: Hemant Kumar Posted On: Feb 11, 2026Share Article
Shopify issues upbeat quarterly forecasts

Shopify projected quarterly revenue ​well above market estimates ​on Wednesday, as the ecommerce platform benefits from resilient consumer ​spending against a backdrop of US tariffs and rising prices.

US-listed shares of the Ontario, Canada-based company jumped more than 10% premarket after it also announced a new share buyback ‌plan of ⁠up ⁠to $2 billion.

While US President Donald Trump's tariffs, rising cost-of-living challenges, and worries over the labor market have strained shopping budgets, consumer spending has held strong in the US, driven primarily by higher-income households.

US consumer sentiment rose to a six-month high in early February, according to the University of Michigan's Surveys of Consumers. Consumer spending ​also increased solidly in October and November, aiding healthy ⁠holiday quarter ‌sales for retailers.

That is underpinning growth at Shopify, which ​primarily generates revenue ​by taking a cut of merchant sales through payment ⁠processing fees and by selling subscription plans to merchants.

"We ended ​2025 with strength across all merchant sizes, regions, and ​channels, setting us up well for 2026," said Shopify finance chief Jeff Hoffmeister.

The company has doubled down on integrating AI-based tools that help sellers with a range of tasks, including analyzing sales data and setting up stores, helping it attract both small-scale entrepreneurs and larger retailers.

Gross merchandise ‌volume, or the total value of goods sold on the platform, was $123.84 billion in the holiday quarter, up from $94.46 billion ​in the prior ​year.

The company expects ⁠revenue to rise at a low-thirties percentage rate in the January-March quarter, compared with analysts' estimate of a 25.2% rise, according to data compiled by LSEG.

Total ​revenue rose 31% to $3.67 billion in the quarter ended December, beating estimates of $3.59 billion.

The company reported a gross profit of $1.69 billion in the quarter, a rise of more than 25% from last year. It expects profit to increase in the high-twenties percentage range in the current quarter.

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