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Mumbai BMC Exit Poll Results 2026: Big blow for Uddhav–Raj alliance as Axis My India predicts BJP-led Mahayuti majority
Mumbai BMC Election Exit Polls Result: An exit poll suggests the BJP-led alliance will win the Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation elections. The BJP+ bloc is projected to secure a significant number of seats. The UBT+ alliance is expected to be the second largest bloc. Voter turnout was moderate. Final results will be declared on January 16.
The Axis My India exit poll for the Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation (BMC) elections 2026 has projected a clear advantage for the BJP-led alliance, suggesting a strong performance despite a moderate voter turnout in Mumbai.
According to the survey, voter turnout stood at approximately 54 per cent, a factor that Axis notes could impact seat share, particularly for the BJP+ alliance.
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Axis Exit Poll Seat Projection for BMC 2026
As per the Axis exit poll, the BJP+ alliance is expected to emerge as the largest bloc in the BMC, with a projected 131 to 151 seats. The alliance includes the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and Shiv Sena (Shinde faction).BMC Results 2026: Where to track Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation results live
The UBT+ alliance, comprising Shiv Sena (UBT), MNS, and NCP (Sharad Pawar faction), is projected to win 58 to 68 seats, placing it firmly in second position.
Meanwhile, the Congress-led alliance (CONG+) is expected to secure a smaller share, with 12 to 16 seats, while other parties and independents could collectively win 6 to 12 seats.
JVC Exit Poll Also Sees Mahayuti in the Lead
A separate JVC exit poll echoes a similar trend. It predicts that the BJP-led Mahayuti could win around 138 wards in the BMC. The Thackeray-led alliance is projected to secure 59 wards, while the Congress may bag 23 wards. The remaining seven wards are expected to go to smaller parties and independents.Party-Wise Seat Expectations According to Axis
The exit poll data shows the following contest pattern:BJP contested 136 seats Shiv Sena (Shinde) contested 90 seats Shiv Sena (UBT) contested 164 seats MNS contested 52 seats NCP (SP) contested 12 seats Congress contested 150 seats VBA contested 50 seats RSP contested 2 seatsSmaller parties and independents also featured across multiple wards, contributing to the “Others” category.
Vote Share Prediction: BJP+ Leads Comfortably
The Axis exit poll also provides insights into party-wise vote share, with a margin of error of ±2 per cent.The BJP+ alliance is projected to secure a combined 42 per cent vote share, placing it well ahead of rivals. The UBT+ alliance is estimated to receive 32 per cent, while the Congress-led alliance stands at 13 per cent.
The remaining 13 per cent vote share is expected to be divided among other parties, including smaller regional outfits and independents.
How Does This Compare with BMC 2017 Results?
In the 2017 BMC elections, the BJP and undivided Shiv Sena had emerged as the top two parties, with Congress and NCP trailing behind. The Axis exit poll indicates a significant shift in alliance dynamics, with the BJP-led bloc now poised to dominate the civic body.Impact of Voter Turnout on BMC Results
Axis My India has highlighted that the 54 per cent turnout could play a crucial role in shaping the final outcome. With polling concluded, all eyes are now on January 16, when the counting of votes will begin.
Voters and political observers are advised to follow official updates for accurate results as counting progresses.
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Source: EconomicTimes
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