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NASA's Van Allen Probe A set to crash on Earth; Is there a risk of being hit?
Van Allen Probe A: 1,300-pound NASA satellite set to crash on Earth after 14-yr in orbit; Is there a risk of being hit?
Van Allen Probe A: 1,300-pound NASA satellite set to crash on Earth after 14-yr in orbit; Is there a risk of being hit?
NASA's Van Allen Probe A, weighing 1,323 pounds, is set to crash back to Earth on March 10 after 14 years in orbit.
Updated on: Mar 10, 2026 6:03 PM IST By Shweta Kukreti Share via Copy link A large NASA satellite is set to crash back to Earth on Tuesday (March 10) after nearly 14 years in orbit, according to experts. NASA's Van Allen Probe A, weighing 1,323 pounds, is set to crash to Earth on March 10 after 14 years in orbit. Most of the spacecraft will burn up, with a low risk of harm to people. (Reuters/Representational Image) The satellite is the 1,323-pound (600-kilogram) Van Allen Probe A, which was launched in August 2012 alongside its twin, Van Allen Probe B, to investigate the radiation belts surrounding Earth that bear their name. Both satellites were deactivated in 2019, and the time for Van Allen Probe A's return to Earth is now nearly at hand. As of Monday afternoon (March 9), the U.S. Space Force has predicted that the satellite will reenter Earth's atmosphere on Tuesday at 7:45 p.m. EDT (2345 GMT), with a margin of error of plus or minus 24 hours. Also Read: How much money US burnt through weapons in first two days of Iran war? Stunning figure revealedNASA satellite crash: Is there a risk of being hit?
"NASA expects most of the spacecraft to burn up as it travels through the atmosphere, but some components are expected to survive reentry," officials from NASA stated in an update on Monday. "The risk of harm coming to anyone on Earth is low — approximately 1 in 4,200." The low risk of injury — approximately 0.02% — considers the fact that water covers about 70% of Earth's surface. Therefore, any components that survive reentry are likely to land in the open ocean rather than in or near urban areas. The estimated reentry time provided by the Space Force is merely an estimate. It will be revised in the coming hours as more accurate data becomes available.All on NASA's misison
The mission was originally intended to last only two years, but the spacecraft continued to operate until July 2019 (Probe B) and October 2019 (Probe A). They collected data that scientists and mission planners are still analyzing today. "By reviewing archived data from the mission, scientists study the radiation belts surrounding Earth, which are key to predicting how solar activity impacts satellites, astronauts, and even systems on Earth such as communications, navigation and power grids," NASA further said. "By observing these dynamic regions, the Van Allen Probes contributed to improving forecasts of space weather events and their potential consequences." Both probes were anticipated to remain in Earth's orbit until 2034. However, the sun has exhibited unexpected activity in recent years, leading to an expansion of our planet's atmosphere and an increase in frictional drag on satellites in orbit. These effects have probably reduced the duration of Van Allen Probe B's mission in space as well, though not as significantly as its counterpart. According to NASA, Probe B is not expected to reenter the atmosphere before 2030. ABOUT THE AUTHOR Shweta Kukreti Shweta Kukreti has over 8 years of experience in covering Indian and world politics. She joined the Hindustan Times in 2024 and is primarily assigned to the US desk. She currently works as Deputy Chief Content Producer and reports on a wide range of topics, including US politics, immigration issues (especially H-1B visa) and major global events. Shweta strongly emphasizes team operations, which encompasses monitoring news, delegating tasks, editing, developing comprehensive coverage strategies, and crafting engaging, and data-informed narratives. She received the Digi Star Award at the Hindustan Times within a year of joining for her broad coverage of US politics. In 2025, she earned both a promotion and a redesignation, a significant achievement recognising her contributions and the strong value she brings to the team. She has previously worked with the Indian Express, HTDS, ANI and Republic World. Seniors in all the media organisations recognised her work. Regarding education, she earned a BA (Hons.) in Political Science and a master's degree from Delhi University, and she pursued a PG Diploma in English Journalism from the Indian Institution of Mass Communication (IIMC). She also holds a diploma in Women's Empowerment and Development from IGNOU University and a French certification course from Alliance Française de Delhi. If not working, you can find her exploring the hills and engaging in adventurous activities in Rishikesh and Himachal Pradesh. She loves to play badminton, volleyball, and chess, and spend time with her friends and family. She also enjoys spiritual activities.Read More Us Top News Us News Nasa Satellite Stay updated with US News covering politics, crime, weather, local events, and sports highlights. Get the latest on Donald Trump and American politics along with Horoscope 2026. News / World News / Us News / Van Allen Probe A: 1,300-pound NASA Satellite Set To Crash On Earth After 14-yr In Orbit; Is There A Risk Of Being Hit? See LessA large NASA satellite is set to crash back to Earth on Tuesday (March 10) after nearly 14 years in orbit, according to experts.
The satellite is the 1,323-pound (600-kilogram) Van Allen Probe A, which was launched in August 2012 alongside its twin, Van Allen Probe B, to investigate the radiation belts surrounding Earth that bear their name.
Both satellites were deactivated in 2019, and the time for Van Allen Probe A's return to Earth is now nearly at hand. As of Monday afternoon (March 9), the U.S. Space Force has predicted that the satellite will reenter Earth's atmosphere on Tuesday at 7:45 p.m. EDT (2345 GMT), with a margin of error of plus or minus 24 hours.
Also Read: How much money US burnt through weapons in first two days of Iran war? Stunning figure revealed
The low risk of injury — approximately 0.02% — considers the fact that water covers about 70% of Earth's surface. Therefore, any components that survive reentry are likely to land in the open ocean rather than in or near urban areas.
The estimated reentry time provided by the Space Force is merely an estimate. It will be revised in the coming hours as more accurate data becomes available.
By reviewing archived data from the mission, scientists study the radiation belts surrounding Earth, which are key to predicting how solar activity impacts satellites, astronauts, and even systems on Earth such as communications, navigation and power grids," NASA further said. "By observing these dynamic regions, the Van Allen Probes contributed to improving forecasts of space weather events and their potential consequences.
Both probes were anticipated to remain in Earth's orbit until 2034. However, the sun has exhibited unexpected activity in recent years, leading to an expansion of our planet's atmosphere and an increase in frictional drag on satellites in orbit.
These effects have probably reduced the duration of Van Allen Probe B's mission in space as well, though not as significantly as its counterpart. According to NASA, Probe B is not expected to reenter the atmosphere before 2030.
Source: HindustanTimes
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